Elizabeth, Leah, and Tilia will together cause at least twenty women to make prediction book accounts.
Created by briennestrohl on 2014-01-22; known on 2014-01-29; judged wrong by mitodoteira on 2014-02-04.
- briennestrohl estimated 20% on 2014-01-22
- Jayson Virissimo said “Welcome to PB! Glad you are here. How would we verify or falsify this statement when the time comes? Causation is very hard to check.” on 2014-01-22
- briennestrohl said “Jayson: I will ask them to tell me how many women they each talked to about signing up, how many of those signed up, and how many of them responded when asked that they signed up because of the suggestion.” on 2014-01-22
- briennestrohl estimated 5% on 2014-01-22
- mitodoteira estimated 15% on 2014-01-22
- waveman estimated 55% and said “PB is good for a) Calibrating your estimations, ie how confident you should be b) Recording commitments. Possibly other things too.” on 2014-01-23
- mitodoteira judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-04.