2014: No one will win $1billion from Warren Buffett by submitting a perfect NCAA pool

Created by RandomThinker on 2014-01-23; known on 2014-06-01; judged right by Andrew MacFie on 2014-03-27.

• RandomThinker estimated 99% on 2014-01-23
• RandomThinker said “Should probably be 100%. http://www.forbes.com/sites/kellyphillipserb/2014/01/21/warren-buffett-offers-1-billion-for-perfect-march-madness-bracket/” on 2014-01-23
• RandomThinker said “Limited to 10 million entries. Someone will probably soak it up before the end with a pool submission bot.” on 2014-01-23
• lettergram estimated 100% and said “http://msn.foxsports.com/buzzer/story/7-fluke-things-ncaa-perfect-bracket-warren-buffet-1-billion-reward-012214” on 2014-01-23
• ciil estimated 100% and said “If somebody holds you at gunpoint and forces you toplay this game or the lottery … pick the lottery.” on 2014-01-23
• lavalamp estimated 98% on 2014-01-23
• Vulture estimated 100% on 2014-01-24
• adbge estimated 100% on 2014-01-24
• Rowan93 estimated 99% and said “I’m more like 99.9% confident, but I can’t put down decimal points here and putting that down as a 100% chance would make me feel dirty.” on 2014-01-24
• Mati estimated 99% and said “99.999%, but the difference between 99.999% and 100% is so HUGE (see http://tinyurl.com/loxgrry/)). Saying 100% is pretty much saying you’d bet your life for 1 cent. I think this site should allow decimals or use odds instead of probabilities. ” on 2014-01-26
• HonoreDB estimated 100% on 2014-01-28
• procran estimated 100% on 2014-01-29
• Andrew MacFie estimated 99% on 2014-01-31
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 99% on 2014-02-04
• Peter Hurford estimated 100% on 2014-02-05
• dimitry12 estimated 100% and said “I don’t feel dirty putting 100% on it” on 2014-02-05
• solipsist estimated 100% on 2014-02-27
• dgray estimated 99% on 2014-03-08
• Andrew MacFie   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-27.