I will try to get my company to use their own implementation of predictionbook as an internal prediction market and will fail to convince even 25% of employees that this would be a good idea
Created by ciil on 2014-01-23; known on 2014-05-23; judged right by ciil on 2014-05-23.
- ciil estimated 90% on 2014-01-23
- lettergram estimated 90% on 2014-01-23
- NikiTaylor estimated 80% on 2014-01-30
- player_03 estimated 80% and said “I may not know anything about your company, but I doubt you could convince that percentage of the general populace, so I’m going based on that.” on 2014-04-24
- Ham Nox estimated 85% and said “This is not a great prediction market. It’s great for recording your own predictions, but it lacks serious competitive appeal.” on 2014-05-22
- ciil judged this prediction right on 2014-05-23.
- ciil said “Hahahaha, 2 out of 30 surveyed thought it would be cool to try it out for a month.” on 2014-05-23