Israel does not get in a large-scale war (ie >100 Israeli deaths) with any Arab state.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-16.

• Michael Dickens estimated 80% on 2014-01-28
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2015-05-16.