In 2014, there is a mass shooting in USA killing > 10 people.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

• Michael Dickens estimated 15% on 2014-01-28
• mad estimated 20% and said “Stats for this are quite grim, but 10 is a lot more than die in most of these sorts of events. For >5 people I would give 80%” on 2014-01-29
• adbge estimated 28% on 2014-01-29
• scrafty estimated 50% on 2014-02-02
• jayk estimated 20% on 2014-02-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2014-02-10
• ZLM said “…yeah you guys are going to end up on some pretty weird government watch lists. ” on 2014-02-11
• mad said “Heard this on the news this morning, but looks like there will be less than ten killed. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/03/us-usa-shooting-forthood-idUSBREA3129C20140403” on 2014-04-03
• mad said “http://shootingtracker.com/wiki/Mass_Shootings_in_2014 as of today there don’t seem to be any shootings that fit the bill” on 2014-12-23
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.