2014 Less Wrong Survey will have < 20% female.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by mad on 2015-01-06.

• Michael Dickens estimated 80% on 2014-01-28
• mad estimated 95% and said “They’ve hit 10% before but only just. I don’t like their chances of hitting 20%” on 2014-01-29
• adbge estimated 85% on 2014-01-29
• hedges estimated 90% on 2014-01-29
• ciil estimated 95% on 2014-01-31
• Andrew MacFie estimated 85% on 2014-02-01
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 90% on 2014-02-04
• TRManderson estimated 85% on 2014-02-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2014-02-08
• jayk estimated 97% on 2014-02-10
• mad   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-06.