At least one person will be banned from #lesswrong in February 2014. (only valid for people who have never before been banned from the channel)

Created by Tenoke on 2014-02-01; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by Tenoke on 2014-02-01.

• Tenoke estimated 60% on 2014-02-01
• Tenoke said “ban at 20:51 GMT” on 2014-02-01
• Tenoke   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-01.