PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will be alive on my 33rd birthday.

Created by ZLM on 2014-02-11; known on 2022-01-30; judged wrong by God on 2022-04-27.

  • ZLM estimated 60% on 2014-02-11
  • ZLM changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-30” on 2014-02-11
  • Mati estimated 88% and said “If you die, who will judge this prediction wrong? How will I know if I’m well calibrated? And more importantly, can I help you not dying? :-(” on 2014-02-11
  • ZLM said “If I die, epistemic rationality will be the least of my worries. I made this to face up the situation -first step to seeing what I can do about it :) And thank you! I don’t know, do you know much about preventing ischaemic heart disease? ” on 2014-02-11
  • Mati said “No, sorry :-( I only know that cryonics can be a last attempt to live longer. And that after my studies I want to make a lot of money to give a part to foundations that will help with these problems. I wish you well.” on 2014-02-11
  • ZLM said “Thank you :) ” on 2014-02-14
  • Tuxedage said “How old are you right now?” on 2014-02-24
  • Mati said “Hi! Are you alive? 🤞” on 2022-03-04
  • PseudonymousUser said “Probably dead” on 2022-04-08
  • God estimated 0% on 2022-04-27
  • God   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-04-27.