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HPMoR (up to ch. 98): Harry Potter will respect his contract/promise from ch.47 with Draco.

Created by Mati on 2014-02-11; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by solipsist on 2015-03-14.

  • Mati estimated 94% on 2014-02-11
  • Mati changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” and changed their prediction from “HPMoR (up to ch. 98): Harry Potter will respect is contract/promise from ch.47 with Draco.” on 2014-02-11
  • Mati said “I’ll pledge to take as my enemy whoever made that happen, whether it’s Dumbledore or anyone else, unless you deliberately release me from that pledge. Hopefully that won’t go wrong the way it would if this were a play. -HPMoR” on 2014-02-11
  • Thelvyn estimated 40% and said “I’m not sure given the circumstances.” on 2014-02-11
  • solipsist estimated 78% and said “At worst he’d get around it in a clever way” on 2014-02-28
  • player_03 estimated 55% on 2014-04-26
  • solipsist   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-14.