Muammar al-Gaddafi will no longer be the leader of Libya by 31 September 2011

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-22; known on 2011-10-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-30.

• Ben Doherty estimated 75% on 2011-03-22
• Ben Doherty said “lets see how I do against the wisdom of the market: http://bit.ly/eFdEsV” on 2011-03-22
• Nic_Smith estimated 55% on 2011-03-23
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 65% on 2011-05-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2011-05-22
• JoshuaZ said “Intrade has called this prediction correct. Any objects if I mark this correct? ” on 2011-08-29
• Nic_Smith said “Seems reasonable to me.” on 2011-08-30
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-30.