Extreme market volatility in 2014

Created by Jedijuggler on 2014-02-28; known on 2014-02-28; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-01-01.

• Jedijuggler estimated 76% on 2014-02-28
• simplicio estimated 20% and said “Can we define this? Maybe using the VIX index (https://www.google.ca/finance?q=INDEXCBOE). Call it the chance of volatility higher than 80 by that measure?” on 2014-02-28
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.