I will not go to the music quiz on Thursday

Created by mad on 2014-03-05; known on 2014-03-06; judged right by mad on 2014-03-06.

• mad estimated 90% on 2014-03-05
• mad estimated 20% and said “I feel a lot better than I expected to, I think I am more likely than not to go at this point.” on 2014-03-06
• mad   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-03-06.
• mad   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-06.
• mad said “I ended up not going because we didn’t have time to get there on time because dinner took longer than expected, not because I wasn’t feeling well.” on 2014-03-06