After a month, my IUD insertion will have been deemed successful (i.e. it will not have fallen out or caused some sort of medical complication)

Created by mad on 2014-03-05; known on 2014-04-09; judged right by mad on 2014-04-09.

• mad estimated 99% on 2014-03-05
• jkadlubo estimated 100% and said “AFAIR the chance it fall out is less than 0,5%, but the chance it doesn’t work in the first month is higher, wbout 1-2%” on 2014-03-13
• reubensandwich estimated 99% on 2014-03-17
• mad said “I define “successful” as “I go into my one month checkup and they tell me that everything is looking good and they have no concerns”, for the record.” on 2014-03-20
• mad changed the deadline from “on 2014-04-06” on 2014-04-04
• mad   judged this prediction right on 2014-04-09.