An alive human from the Mars One organisation will have been on Mars before January 1st 2024.

Created by Mati on 2014-03-09; known on 2024-01-01

• Mati estimated 29% on 2014-03-09
• procran estimated 3% on 2014-03-09
• chemotaxis101 estimated 10% on 2014-03-11
• Coornail estimated 12% on 2014-03-21
• mfb estimated 2% and said “.” on 2014-04-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “Can someone please fix the bug forcing us to add entries to the comment box? ” on 2014-04-03
• unique2 estimated 1% on 2014-04-29
• nshepperd estimated 1% and said “Mars One is rather a joke.” on 2014-09-08
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-09-08
• qznc estimated 1% on 2022-01-02