Crimea is applying for membership in the Russian Federation. This procedure takes from 3 days to 3 months. I predict that Crimea will be accepted as part of Russian Federation within 1 month.

Created by jkadlubo on 2014-03-17; known on 2014-04-20; judged right by jkadlubo on 2014-03-20.

• jkadlubo estimated 80% on 2014-03-17
• jkadlubo changed the deadline from “on 2014-05-30” and changed their prediction from “Crimea is applying for membership in the Russian Federation. This procedure takes from 3 days to 3 months. I predict that Crimea will be accepted as part of Russian Federation within 1 months.” on 2014-03-17
• jkadlubo estimated 99% and said “This reflects my feelings better” on 2014-03-18
• jkadlubo   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-20.
• jkadlubo   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-20.