PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

As of March 27th, 2018, I will still consider “effective altruism” to be a key part of my identity, and will still be donating at least 10% of my income to charity, conditional on my not having become convinced that saving to donate later makes more sense

Created by aarongertler on 2014-03-28; known on 2018-03-27; judged right by aarongertler on 2018-03-27.

  • aarongertler estimated 85% on 2014-03-28
  • Pablo estimated 85% and said “Hope you succeed. :-)on 2014-05-01
  • aarongertler   judged this prediction right on 2018-03-27.