“By the end of the weekend, Europe’s biggest war since 1945 will have begun or Putin will have started to send the troops on the border home,” -John Schindler

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-03-28; known on 2014-07-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2014-04-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2014-03-28
• JoshuaZ said “Context: http://www.news.com.au/world/a-rapid-russian-buildup-of-tanks-and-troops-with-tough-talk-from-president-vladimir-putin-raises-fears-war-with-ukraine-could-be-imminent/story-fndir2ev-1226867240935” on 2014-03-28
• NancyLebovitz said “If a big war starts, the size of it will will take considerably longer than three days to establish.” on 2014-03-29
• JoshuaZ said “Good point. Extending deadline. ” on 2014-03-29
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2014-04-01” on 2014-03-29
• procran estimated 20% and said “.” on 2014-03-30
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26816033 indicates that Ukraine thinks that Russian troops have been reduced. Any objections if I mark this as true or should we wait? ” on 2014-03-31
• Peter Hurford estimated 10% and said “since when did we have to type a response?” on 2014-03-31
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/31/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/index.html?hpt=hp_t2 disputes prior claim that troops are withdrawing. ” on 2014-03-31
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26830336 confirms no troop pullout yet. Clear neither war nor troop withdrawal started during the weekend. Marking wrong. ” on 2014-04-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-04-01.