An (other) astronomical object with a diameter bigger than Mercury will be discover in the Solar System before 2050.

Created by Mati on 2014-04-01; known on 2050-01-01

• Mati estimated 20% on 2014-04-01
• Mati said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planets_beyond_Neptune#Probability” on 2014-04-01
• JoshuaZ said “How close does something need to be to be in the solar system? Any Kuiper belt object? Any object in the Oort cloud? ” on 2014-04-01
• mfb estimated 20% and said “I would say “gravitationally bound to sun”” on 2014-04-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Mercury is not much bigger than Sedna or Pluto. ” on 2014-04-03
• Mati said “Mercury is 9.5 times bigger than Pluto (in volume). ” on 2014-04-03
• adbge estimated 25% and said “.” on 2014-04-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% and said “Is anyone else getting “Response must not be empty” when trying to submit a probability?” on 2014-04-04
• Mati said “yes I do!” on 2014-04-04
• CaelumCodicem estimated 80% on 2019-11-06