By June 2014, I will decide to stop eating wheat
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2014-04-11; known on 2014-06-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2014-05-21.
- PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2014-04-11
- PseudonymousUser said “I am doing a two week test run ending on April 24th” on 2014-04-11
- Michael Dickens estimated 90% and said “My high confidence is due to this principle: http://lesswrong.com/lw/jx/we_change_our_minds_less_often_than_we_think/” on 2014-04-15
- Grognor estimated 90% on 2014-04-17
- Ham Nox estimated 90% on 2014-04-21
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2014-05-21.