A Presidential election will occur in Ukraine by June 5th or a Russian invasion of Ukraine will occur.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-04-21; known on 2014-06-05; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2014-05-25.

• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2014-04-21
• JoshuaZ said “Current election is called for May 25, but a slight delay is plausible. ” on 2014-04-21
• ChanL estimated 80% on 2014-04-23
• unique2 estimated 70% on 2014-04-29
• nyabhingi estimated 65% on 2014-05-12
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2014-05-25.