Meat-eaters will outnumber all other categories combined (vegan, vegertarian, meat-reducer, near vegetarian) in effective-altruist survey. http://lesswrong.com/lw/k60/2014_survey_of_effective_altruists/

Created by Patrick Brinich-Langlois on 2014-05-01; known on 2014-07-01; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-03-24.

  • Patrick Brinich-Langlois estimated 50% on 2014-05-01
  • tog22 estimated 70% on 2014-05-01
  • Peter Hurford estimated 60% on 2014-05-02
  • raisin estimated 60% on 2014-05-03
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 50% on 2014-05-06
  • Rory O’Kane estimated 70% on 2014-05-11
  • Michael Dickens estimated 70% and said “I would be more confident but I think “meat-reducer” will be a large category.on 2014-05-11
  • Soeren estimated 50% on 2014-05-12
  • rebellionkid estimated 50% on 2014-05-22
  • Grognor estimated 69% on 2014-06-15
  • bshannon estimated 90% on 2014-06-17
  • Jenson estimated 50% on 2014-06-26
  • clemux estimated 75% on 2014-06-26
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-06-26
  • Andrew MacFie said “Anyone know when the survey results will be released?on 2014-07-07
  • Pablo Stafforini said “Andrew, you are welcome to create a prediction about that question. ;-)on 2014-10-25
  • tog22 said “@Andrew, I believe Peter Hurford’s on track to release them in early November – see http://bit.ly/1wyNyG7on 2014-10-26
  • rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-24.
  • rebellionkid said “With 69.1% in the non-“meat-eater” categorieson 2015-03-24

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