I will publicly record at least one prediction per month, at least until the end of 2014.

Created by etarletons on 2014-05-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by etarletons on 2014-11-26.

• etarletons estimated 78% on 2014-05-02
• etarletons   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-11-26.