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MIRI will not win the $250K prize from SVGives

Created by Peter Hurford on 2014-05-07; known on 2014-05-07; judged right by Peter Hurford on 2014-05-07.

  • Peter Hurford estimated 70% on 2014-05-07
  • jacyanthis estimated 75% and said “If they had correctly guessed they had a decent chance of winning the grand prize, they would have strategized for the grand prize and would win.” on 2014-05-07
  • Peter Hurford   judged this prediction right on 2014-05-07.