PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

It will have taken between 100 and 150 days since the publication of the blog post below for me to have been asked for money by 50 people on the streets of New Haven: http://aarongertler.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/belated-philanthropy/

Created by aarongertler on 2014-05-17; known on 2014-05-19; judged wrong by aarongertler on 2014-05-19.

  • aarongertler estimated 50% on 2014-05-17
  • JoshuaZ said “50 distinct people or 50 times? on 2014-05-17
  • aarongertler   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-05-19.
  • aarongertler   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-05-19.