On Jan 1st the government in Kiev will be generally recognised as being in de facto control of all of 2013 Ukraine except for Crimea, which will be part of Russia de facto.

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-05-26; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-01-02.

• rebellionkid estimated 30% on 2014-05-26
• rebellionkid estimated 50% and said “Enough time has passes without new salami slices to make me reconsider.” on 2014-06-24
• RandomThinker estimated 60% on 2014-07-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2014-07-10
• rebellionkid estimated 60% on 2014-09-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-09-08
• rebellionkid said “Not sure how to call this one. If anyone thinks they’re in control of the regions currently “rebelling” feel free to reverse the judgement.” on 2015-01-02
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-02.