HP MOR: Quirrell was responsible for releasing the troll, but a third party redirected it to Hermione

Created by solipsist on 2014-05-26; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by solipsist on 2015-03-14.

• solipsist estimated 17% on 2014-05-26
• ygert estimated 1% on 2014-05-28
• Ham Nox estimated 10% on 2014-05-30
• Osuniev estimated 5% on 2014-06-13
• Jenson estimated 15% on 2014-06-26
• solipsist   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-14.