I will participate in the Sydney Morning Herald Half Marathon on May 17 2015, running a time of less than 2 hours.

Created by TheEconomistofVengeance on 2014-05-29; known on 2015-05-17; judged wrong by waveman on 2015-06-01.

• TheEconomistofVengeance estimated 50% on 2014-05-29
• waveman estimated 45% on 2014-06-06
• TheEconomistofVengeance estimated 5% and said “Training times are inconsistent with a sub-2 hour half marathon. 2:30 is a reasonable target.” on 2015-03-02
• waveman   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-01.
• waveman said “Time was 2:29” on 2015-06-01
• TheEconomistofVengeance said “My finishing time was consistent with my revised estimate of sub-2:30 made on 2015-03-02. Exact time was 2:29:36, ie 24 seconds to spare.” on 2015-06-04