There will be fewer than 20 wagers on this prediction two weeks from today.
Created by aarongertler on 2014-06-18; known on 2014-07-01; judged right by aarongertler on 2014-07-01.
- aarongertler estimated 30% on 2014-06-18
- Ben Doherty estimated 70% on 2014-06-23
- Michael Dickens estimated 80% and said “If this prediction were going to get popular, it probably would have by now.” on 2014-06-25
- Jenson estimated 95% on 2014-06-26
- fela estimated 55% on 2014-06-27
- ygert estimated 90% on 2014-06-27
- Ham Nox estimated 85% and said “self-referential brain breaking.” on 2014-06-27
- booradleytron estimated 90% on 2014-06-27
- lettergram estimated 90% on 2014-06-28
- waveman estimated 10% on 2014-06-29
- Patrick Brinich-Langlois estimated 92% on 2014-06-30
- Roxolan estimated 55% and said “How many people will add last-minute predictions (even though those are worthless for self-calibration)?” on 2014-06-30
- aarongertler judged this prediction right on 2014-07-01.