“Over the next two decades scholarly research will show that the treatment effect of homeschooling is either neutral or positive relative to government-operated schools” – Art Carden

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-06-24; known on 2033-04-01

• rebellionkid estimated 70% on 2014-06-24
• rebellionkid said “http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2013/04/on_the_effects.html” on 2014-06-24
• rebellionkid changed the deadline from “on 2033-04-01” and changed their prediction from ““Over the next two decades (around the time our kids are finishing college), scholarly research will show that the treatment effect of homeschooling—after controlling for selection effects, ability bias, etc—is either neutral or positive relative to gov” on 2014-06-24
• Michael Dickens estimated 70% and said “I think this statement is very likely to be true (>70%), but the research might not be sufficiently robust to show it so I have some uncertainty there.” on 2014-06-25
• adbge estimated 75% on 2014-06-25
• Jayson Virissimo said “At least some research will, most research will, virtually all research will, the most rigorous meta-study will, or something else?” on 2014-07-01
• rebellionkid said “I read the article as meaning “most research will”.” on 2014-07-03
• Ham Nox estimated 55% and said “I am also not confident that effects would be shown definitively, or that “homeschooling” is a tight enough concept to point towards a specific cluster of outcomes. There’s probably just concentrations nearer the extremes.” on 2014-07-03