I will get a tax refund this year

Created by mad on 2014-07-08; known on 2014-12-16; judged wrong by mad on 2014-07-29.

• mad estimated 70% on 2014-07-08
• Temeraire estimated 80% on 2014-07-08
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2014-07-12
• mad estimated 1% and said “Looks like I owe the government $200. Oh dear. I should probably get an accountant for next year. ” on 2014-07-29
• mad   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-07-29.