Australia will have legalized same-sex marriage by 2016 in some/all states.

Created by blubble on 2014-07-25; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by blubble on 2016-01-01.

• blubble estimated 60% on 2014-07-25
• mad estimated 30% and said “I want to be hopeful but I think we’ll have a hard time considering there was just an election last year.” on 2014-07-29
• aarongertler estimated 45% and said “Splitting the difference!” on 2014-07-30
• mad said “Just had a thought – is the prediction true if there’s only one state to legalise it by 2016? What about if it’s legalised by a territory (e.g. ACT almost did it)” on 2015-01-07
• blubble   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.