The Rosetta Probe's Philae lander will touch down successfully (at least 9 of its 10 scientific instruments working) on comet 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko by the end of November.

Created by tdhellma on 2014-08-14; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by kuudes on 2014-11-30.

• tdhellma estimated 90% on 2014-08-14
• minilodon estimated 95% and said “I have a blind faith in that mission” on 2014-08-14
• TeMPOraL estimated 90% on 2014-08-14
• rebellionkid estimated 80% on 2014-08-15
• Grognor estimated 90% on 2014-08-21
• kuudes estimated 67% on 2014-10-27
• phreeza estimated 66% and said “there seem to be some problems with the thruster. Harpoon still intact though.” on 2014-11-12
• phreeza estimated 95% and said “touched down intact, now it just remains to be seen if the instruments made it.” on 2014-11-12
• dpchalmers estimated 100% on 2014-11-29
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2014-11-30.
• kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-11-30.
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2014-11-30.
• kuudes said “http://blogs.esa.int/rosetta/2014/11/28/did-philae-graze-a-crater-rim-during-its-first-bounce/ “all of Philae’s instruments were operated in the following two days.”” on 2014-11-30