PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

By the end of this year, I will know 50 Canberrans who read LessWrong or attend meetups regularly. (I will have personally spoken to and remember names and faces)

Created by Calien on 2014-08-19; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by Calien on 2015-01-06.

  • Calien estimated 50% on 2014-08-19
  • Calien   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-06.
  • Calien said “Somewhere between 20-30on 2015-01-06