Obama will be elected President in 2012

Created by cmessinger on 2011-08-16; known on 2012-11-05; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.

• cmessinger estimated 85% on 2011-08-16
• JoshuaZ said “There are a few copies of this prediction floating around here. See predictions 542, 1243,1737, 2776, and 2813. ” on 2011-08-16
• Matt estimated 51% and said “Tracking InTrade.” on 2011-08-18
• Zach Aletheia estimated 40% on 2011-08-18
• lukeprog estimated 55% on 2012-09-04
• sdr estimated 80% on 2012-09-13
• Pablo estimated 78% on 2012-09-27
• Aticper estimated 80% on 2012-10-24
• cmessinger changed the deadline from “on 2012-11-03” on 2012-11-04
• tedks estimated 67% on 2012-11-06
• NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-11-06
• tedks estimated 80% on 2012-11-07
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.