UKIP wins Clacton by-election

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-08-28; known on 2014-10-10; judged right by rebellionkid on 2014-10-10.

• rebellionkid estimated 70% on 2014-08-28
• rebellionkid estimated 90% on 2014-09-06
• thostian estimated 90% on 2014-09-20
• rebellionkid changed the deadline from “on 2014-10-28” on 2014-10-04
• rebellionkid estimated 99% on 2014-10-04
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction right on 2014-10-10.