An alive human has been on mars soil and returned to earth safely before year 2100.

Created by nshepperd on 2014-09-08; known on 2100-01-01

  • nshepperd estimated 30% on 2014-09-08
  • nshepperd changed the deadline from “on 2100-01-01” and changed their prediction from “An alive human has been on mars soil and returned to earth before year 2100.” on 2014-09-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2014-09-08
  • nshepperd estimated 45% on 2014-09-08
  • nshepperd said “Example from kuudes on irc.on 2014-09-08
  • Jayson Virissimo said “Returning is the real sticking point, methinks.on 2014-09-08
  • Ham Nox estimated 45% on 2014-09-12
  • ChristianKl estimated 50% and said “And his nationality is most likely Chinese.on 2014-09-12
  • CrystalBall estimated 90% on 2014-09-13
  • Ben Doherty estimated 45% on 2014-09-13
  • rationalnoodles estimated 80% on 2014-09-14
  • Mike estimated 85% and said “Before Elon Musk, my prediction would be have been zero.on 2014-09-15
  • Serge estimated 60% on 2014-09-15
  • asd estimated 80% and said “You really think PredictionBook is around then?on 2014-09-18
  • RobertLumley estimated 60% on 2014-10-08
  • mad estimated 75% on 2014-10-11
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2015-06-15
  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “See closely related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/51719 which predicts no humans on Mars by that time. on 2015-08-06
  • Chri estimated 15% on 2015-08-07
  • pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-09-25
  • Baeboo estimated 60% on 2018-12-12

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