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A peace treaty ends the arab-israeli conflict before 2018

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-08; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

  • rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-09-08
  • rebellionkid said “Is widely regarded as having ended the conflict, eg wikipedia no longer lists it as an ongoing conflict.” on 2014-09-08
  • rebellionkid changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” on 2014-09-08
  • Tamer estimated 1% on 2014-09-17
  • simplicio estimated 5% on 2014-09-18
  • MattG estimated 2% and said “It would have to be some peace treaty… ” on 2014-09-23
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.