“The [ebola] case burden could gain an additional 77,181 to 277,124 cases by the end of 2014.” – Wired
Created by adbge on 2014-09-15; known on 2015-02-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-01-12.
- adbge estimated 15% on 2014-09-15
- adbge said “http://www.wired.com/2014/09/r0-ebola/” on 2014-09-15
- phreeza estimated 25% on 2014-09-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2014-09-17
- TeMPOraL estimated 90% and said ““Without additional interventions or changes in community behavior, CDC estimates that by January 20, 2015, there will be a total of approximately 550,000 Ebola cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone or (…)”” on 2014-10-01
- TeMPOraL said ““(…) 1.4 million if corrections for underreporting are made.”http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/qa-mmwr-estimating-future-cases.html & http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6303a1.htm?s_cid=su6303a1_w” on 2014-10-01
- kuudes judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-12.