Ebola outbreak kills more than 30000 people by the end of the year

Created by phreeza on 2014-09-15; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-12-31.

• phreeza estimated 90% on 2014-09-15
• Tamer estimated 100% and said “There’s going to be thousands of unreported ebola deaths. ” on 2014-09-17
• TeMPOraL estimated 99% and said “CDC estimates 550k-1.4M cases in Liberia & Sierra Leone alone, which even with 65% mortality is well above the bet condition, and that doesn’t count other countries.@Tamer, CDC estimates ratio of reported to unreported cases to be 2.5.” on 2014-10-01
• TeMPOraL said “http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/qa-mmwr-estimating-future-cases.html & http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6303a1.htm?s_cid=su6303a1_w” on 2014-10-01
• kuudes estimated 15% and said “only Sierra Leone currently increasingapps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/144498/1/roadmapsitrep_26Nov2014_eng.pdf?ua=1” on 2014-11-30
• kuudes said “eh, link is http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/144498/1/roadmapsitrep_26Nov2014_eng.pdf” on 2014-11-30
• qznc estimated 10% on 2014-12-03
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-12-31.