11 beats 5 http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/l0n/youre_entitled_to_everyones_opinion/bcus

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-20; known on 2014-09-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-20.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 55% on 2014-09-20
• KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-20.