6 beats 12 http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/l0n/youre_entitled_to_everyones_opinion/bcus

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-20; known on 2014-09-20; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-20.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 85% on 2014-09-20
• KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction right on 2014-09-20.