UKIP wins the Heywood and Middleton by-election

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-24; known on 2014-10-09; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-10-10.

• rebellionkid estimated 10% on 2014-09-24
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-10-06
• rebellionkid said “Wow that was closer than I expected!” on 2014-10-10
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-10-10.