Nick Bostrom replies to my comment on his Reddit AMA

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-25; known on 2014-09-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-09-25.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 20% on 2014-09-25
• KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-25.