At least one Tory MP defects to UKIP before the end of their party conference.

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-26; known on 2014-10-02; judged right by rebellionkid on 2014-09-27.

• rebellionkid estimated 60% on 2014-09-26
• rebellionkid   judged this prediction right on 2014-09-27.
• rebellionkid said “Before it even started.” on 2014-09-27