The people who join this prediction until friday will bet 45% to 55% on average.

Created by Metus on 2011-10-28; known on 2011-11-05; judged wrong by muflax on 2011-11-05.

• Metus estimated 50% on 2011-10-28
• Metus changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-05” and made the prediction on 2011-10-28
• TheScholar estimated 0% and said “I don’t think so…” on 2011-10-31
• JFE estimated 0% and said “A single estimation outside this range makes the prediction wrong already.” on 2011-11-01
• antsan said “@JFE: How so? Right now we need only two people to make the prediction right.” on 2011-11-01
• muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-05.