Number close Ellie2 by or on November 30th

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-28; known on 2014-12-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-12.

• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 20% on 2014-10-28
• KnaveOfAllTrades changed the deadline from “on 2014-12-01” and changed their prediction from “Number close Ellie (Elly?) by or on November 30th” on 2014-10-28
• KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-12.