The r0 of the 2014 Ebola outbreak will be under 2
Created by msevrens on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-10-28; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-08-28.
- msevrens estimated 80% on 2014-10-28
- David estimated 70% on 2015-10-25
- themusicgod1 estimated 42% on 2016-04-14
- themusicgod1 said “http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4347917/ looks like 1.36-1.49” on 2016-08-28
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2016-08-28.