A complete functional simulation of the C. elegans nervous system will exist on 2018-01-01

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-31; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2011-10-31
• JoshuaZ said “Trying to find my rough midpoint given David’s ranges. ” on 2011-10-31
• ScaldingHotSoup estimated 60% and said “Maybe I’m an optimist, but biotech and neuroscience are advancing so quickly… seems pretty likely.” on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ said “There are simulations but I don’t know how much they meet “complete functional” – I’m inclined to mark this wrong. Any objections? ” on 2018-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.
• Bruno Parga said “Sibernetic, the existing simulation, hard-codes the muscle movements instead of simulating the nervous system impulses that generate the muscle movements.” on 2018-01-01