I will still use Beeminder in a month.

Created by muflax on 2011-11-03; known on 2011-12-03; judged right by muflax on 2011-12-03.

• muflax estimated 60% on 2011-11-03
• muflax said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4147, would be a bit lower based on past performance, but public commitment yada yada” on 2011-11-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 38% on 2011-11-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2011-11-10
• muflax   judged this prediction right on 2011-12-03.