Nothing will pass the Turing Test before 2017

Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-04; known on 2017-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2017-01-16.

• sweeneyrod estimated 80% on 2014-11-04
• kuudes said “how would this be judged in the face of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_test#2014_University_of_Reading_competition ?” on 2014-11-06
• sweeneyrod said “That would not count as passing – 30% isn’t enough, and the judging wasn’t rigorous.” on 2014-11-10
• Jayson Virissimo said “What would count as passing? How rigorous must the judging be and how would that be measured?” on 2014-11-16
• David estimated 100% on 2015-06-27
• two2thehead estimated 80% on 2017-01-13
• spqr0a1 estimated 95% on 2017-01-15
• sweeneyrod   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-16.